Оптимизация целевой функции и адаптация «Человеческого элемента» в навигационных и промысловых диалоговых системах..pdf
код для вставкиСкачатьISSN 2073-1574. Вестник АГТУ. Сер.: Морская техника и технология. 2016. ? 3 ???: [656.61.052:681.518]:519.816 ?. ?. ????, ?. ?. ?????, ?. ?. ????????? ОПТИМИЗАЦИЯ ЦЕЛЕВОЙ ФУНКЦИИ И АДАПТАЦИЯ «ЧЕЛОВЕЧЕСКОГО ЭЛЕМЕНТА» В НАВИГАЦИОННЫХ И ПРОМЫСЛОВЫХ ДИАЛОГОВЫХ СИСТЕМАХ ????????? ?? ??????????? ???????????? ? ??????????? ????? ?????????? ??????, ?????????? ?????????-??????????????? ?????????????? ??????????? ? ????????-?????????, ????????????? ???? ???????? ??? ?????? ???????????? (???????????) ???????, ????????? ???????????? ?????????? ????? ???????????? (???????????) ???????. ? ????? ???????? ????? ??????? ???????????? ????? ??????? ??????? ?????????????????? ????????, ?? ?????? ???????? ???????? ???????? ?? ??? ???? ???????, ??????????, ? ??? ????? ??????, ???????????? ?????. ?????????? ?????? ????????? ?????? ?????????? ?????, ??????????? ???????, ??????? ??????? ? ??????????????? ???????????, ????????? ???????? ?????? ???????????? (???????????) ??????? ?? ?????????? ???????? ???????????? ??????????, ?????????????? ?????????? ???????????? ????? ?????????? ?????. ??????????, ??? ????? ?????? ??????????? ??????? ??????? ??? ?? ???????? ?????????-???????????????? ??????????????? ???????????, ??? ? ?? ????????????, ?????????????????, ?????, ??????????????? ???????????? ?????????, ??????????? ? ?????? ?????????? ???????. ?????? ??????? ????????? ????, ???????????? ???????, ? ?????? ???????????? (???????????) ???????, ??????? ?????? ???? ????????????? ? ???????????? ?? ?????? ???? ? ?????? ? ???????? ???????? ??????? ?? ?????? ??????????? ??????????????? ????. ????????? ??????????? ? ??? ?????, ???????????? ? ???????? ??????? ?????????-???????????????? ??????????????? ??????????? ? ????????-?????????, ???????????? ???????? ? ???????????????? ??????. ???????? ?????: ?????????? ???????, ???????? ???????, ?????????? ???????, ?????????????, ????????-???????? ?????????. ???????? ? ????????? ????? ? ???????????? ???????? ?????????? ??????? ??????????????? ??? ?????????? ?????????? ???????, ??????? ????????? ???????? ??????????? ??????????????? ?? ??????? ????? ????????? ?????????, ?????????? ?? ????????? ???????. ????? ??????? ?????????? ? ???? ?????????????? ????????, ?????????? ??????????????? ?????????-??????????????? ?????????????? ????????????, ? ????????-?????????, ????????????? ???? ???????? ??? ?????? ???????????? (???????????) ???????. ??????????? ??????? ???????, ??? ????? ??????? ???????????? ????? ?????? ????????, ??????????????? ????????? ????????, ? ?? ?????? ????? ??????? ???????? ??????????????? ?? ??? ??? ???? ???????, ???????, ? ??? ????? ??????, ???????? ???????? ?????. ???????????, ????? ?????? ????????????, ??? ???????? ???????? ??????????? ????????? ???????? ? ???????? ???????????????? ?????????? ??????? ?????? ???????, ????? ?? ???????? ?? ???? ???????? ?????????? ???????. ?????????? ????? ??????? ??? ????????? ?? ???????, ?. ?. ????? ????????? ????????? ??????? ??????????? ????????? ??????, ??? ??? ?????? ?? ??????? ?????????? ??????? ??? ?? ??????? [1]. ???????? ???????? ???? ???????? ???????? ??????????????? ??????????????? ??????????? ?????? ???????. ??? ???????, ????? ??????? ???????? ?????????????? ???????????, ??????????? ?????????????? ????????, ??????????????? ????????? ???????, ?????? ?? ???????? ??????????????? ??????????? ?????? ???????? ???????? ???????, ?. ?. ?? ???????????? ?????????, ??? ?? ?????? ???????? ???????, ????? ??? ????????. ???? ?? ???? ???????? ????????????? ??????? ???????????? ??? ?????? ????????????? ???????, ???????? ?????? ???????? ?? ??????????? ?????. ?????? ?????????? ??????? ?????? ? ??????????, ??? ???????? ???????????? ?? ?????? ??????? ? ?????????? ?????????? ???????? ? ???????? ????????????? ???????? ???? ??????? ???????????? [2]. ??????? ?? ?????? ????? ? ???????? ????? ?????????? ????????? ???????? ? ???????? ?? ??? ??????, ?????? ?????? ???? ???????????, ????? ??????? ??????? ????? ?????? ? ??????????????, ??????? ????????? ?? ??? ?????? ?????, ??? ????? ???????? ?????? ???????, ????? ???????? ?????? ? ???????????? ? ??? ???????? ????????????. ? ???? ??? ????? ?????? ?????????????? ?????? ???????? ???????, ??????????? ???????? ??????? ?????? ??????? ? ????? ?????????????? ??????????? ?????????? ??????. ?????????? ???? ?? ????????? ????????? ?????? ????????????? ????????? ?????? ???????????? ???????? ??? ??????????? ????????? ???????? ??????? ? ?????????? ???????? [3]. 18 Судостроение, судоремонт и эксплуатация флота ?????? ????????? ?????? ?????????? ??????? ??????? ? ??????????????? ??????????? ? ?????????? ??????? ????? ?????????? ????????? ????????? ? ?????????? ????????? ???????, ??????? ????????? X. ???????????, ??? ??? ?????? ?????????????? ?????????? x ? X ?????????? ??????? (???. 1) ???? ??????????? ????, ???????????? ??????? (???), ???????? ???????????? ?????????? ? ???????????? ????????? ???????. ??????? ??????? ??????? (????????) ?????????? ??????? ??????? ???. 1. ????? ?????????? ??????? ?????, ? ??????? ??? ?????????? ?? ??????? ??????????? ????????? ? ???, ????? ???? ?????? ????????????? ? ??????????? ?? ???????? ? ??????? ??????????????? ??????????? ?????????? ??????? ? ???? ???????, ??????? ??? ????????. ??? ????? ???? ????????? ?????? ???????? ??? ??? ???? ????????????? ????????? ???????? ??? ????? ??????????? ???????????. ???? ????????? ?? ?????????? ????????, ?? ????? ???????, ??? ??????? ?????????????? ???????? ? ?????????? ??????? ???????????? ????????? ???????? S(x), ??????? ? ????????? ??? ??????? ? ????????? ???. ????? ??? [4] ? ???????? ???????? ??????? ?????????? ??? ???????? S1 = S ( x1 ) ? S2 = S ( x 2 ) , ?????????? ???? ????????? ??????????? x1 , x 2 ? X , ? ???????? ?? ??? ??????. ???? ??????? ????????????, ?? ?????? ??????? ??? ???????????? ???? ?????, ???????????, ??? ????????, ??? ?????? ??????? ???????????? ????????????? ????????? ????????? ???????? ????????????? W = F ( x ) , ???? ??? ?????????? ????????? ????? ???? ? ??????????. ??????????? ?????, ??? ?????????? ????????? ????? ?????? ???????????? ??????? ??? ???????? ???? F(x) ?? ????????? ??????????? X ? E N , ??? E N ? ????????? ???????????? ??????????? N. ??????? ????????? ??????? ??????? x ? X . ??? ??????? ??? ?????? ??????? ?? ?????? ?????? ??????? ?????, ???????????? ? ??????????? ????????? ? ??? ?????????????? ???????????? (???. 2). ???. 2. ??????????? ?????? ? ?????????? ??????? 19 ISSN 2073-1574. Вестник АГТУ. Сер.: Морская техника и технология. 2016. ? 3 ???? ?? ?????????? ????????? ???????? ????????????? W = F ( x ) ???? ????????, ?? ???????? ?????????? ????????? ???????? ??????? ???????? ?? ??????. ??? ????? ???? ?? ?????????? ????????? ? ????? ?0 ???????? ??????? F(x) grad F ( x ) = {dF / dx1 , dF / dx2 , ..., dF / d x N } ? ??????? ? ???????????? EN ??? ? ??????????? ????? ??????? (??? ???????? ????? ????????????, ??? ?0 ???????? ?????????? ?????? ????????? X). ???? ? ????? ?0 ???????? grad F ( x 0 ) ? 0 ? ??? ? ?????????? ???, ?? ????? ?????????? ??????? x * = x 0 + ?(grad F ( x ) / | grad F ( x ) | ) ???????????????? ?0 ? ???? ???????? F(x). ? ??????????? ??????? ??????? F(x) ??????????, ? ???, ??? ? ??? ????? ?????, ??? ???? ??, ??? ??? ?????????? ?????????? ? ???????? ??? ? ????????? ??? ?????? ????? ?? ?????????? ????????? ????????? ???????????, ??????????????? ?????????? ???????? S. ????? ???????, ??????????? ????????? ??????? F ? ????? ?0 ????? ??????????, ??????? ??????, ? ????? ??????????? ?????????? ??????? ???, ????? ????????? ???????? ???????? F. ?????? ?????? ???????, ??? ?????? ?????? ?? ???????? ? ??????????? ??????? grad F. ???????????? ?????????? ? ????????? ??? ???????? ?? ????? ????????, ????????? ?????????????? ??????????? ??? ????????????? ???????? ??????? ?? ?? ?????????????. ??? ????? ????? ????????? ????????? ???????. ?????????? ?????? ? ??????? ???????? x 0 = {x 01 , x 02 , ..., x 0 N } ??????? ??????????????? ??????? ? 0k = {?10 , ?20 , ..., ?k0 , ?k0+1 , ..., ? N0 }, ( k = 1, 2 , ..., N ), ????????????? ? ?????????? ????? ??????????? ???????? ??????? ?0. ???????????, ??? ??? ?????????? ??? N ????? ??????? ?????? ? ??????? ?? ?????????????. ??? ??????? ??????? ?????????? ?????? ????: > F ( x k ) ? F ( x 0 ) = 0, ??? k = 1, 2, ..., N ; < > F ( x j ) ? F ( x i ) = U , ??? i, j = 1, 2, ..., N , j > i. > ????? ??????????? ????? (??????????? ??? ?????????) ? ?????? ????? ????????? ??????? ?? ????, ??? ??? ????????? ?????????? ?????? ??????? ?? ?????????????. ???? ????????? ??????????? ???????? ??????? ?????????? ????, ?? ?????????? ??????? grad F ????? ??????????? ????? ????????? ???????? ?????????: ?F / ?xk = g k = ( F ( x k ) ? F ( x 0 )) / ?xk . ????? ??????? ?????????? ???? ? ??????? ????? ?0 ??????? ??????????? ?? ?????????? gk ??????? g = grad F : > > g k = 0 k = 1, 2, ..., N ; ?x j g j ? ?xi gi = 0, ...; i, j = 1, 2, ..., N ; < j > i. < ????? ???????, ??????? ???????????? ??? ????????? ? ??????? ????? ?0 ????????? ???????????? ????? ?, ???????? ??????????? ???????? ??????? F. ??????? ?????? ? ????? ?0 ????????? ???????????, ???????????? ????????? ???????? h = {h1 , h2 , ..., hN } ??? n | h |2 = ? hk 2 = 1 . k =1 20 Судостроение, судоремонт и эксплуатация флота ??????? ? ???? ??????????? ??? ? ???????? (??????) ?. ???? ??????? F(?) ??????? ?????????? ???????????????? ? ????? ?0, ?? ?????????? ? ???? ????? ????? ????? ???: N N k =1 k ?1 ?F = F ( x 0 + ?h ) ? F ( x 0 ) = ?? hk ( ?F / ?xk ) + 0(? x = x0 ) = ? ? hk g k + 0(?) ???, ??????????? ????????? ????? ???????? ???????, ??? ?, ????????? ???????: N ?F = ? hk g k , k =1 ??? g = {g1 , g 2 , ..., g N }? K . ?????? ??????????? ? ???, ????? ????? ????? ??????????? h, ?? ??????? ?????????? ?F ????????? ?? ??????????? ?????????? ????????. ???? ?? ??? ???????? ?????? g, ?? ??????? ??????????? h ????????? ?? ? ???????????? ????? ??????? ??? ?0 ? X. ?????? ?????? g ??????????, ? ???????? ???? ????????? ????????, ??????? ?? ????? ?????????. ?????????????, g ???????? ?????????????? ????????, ? ?????????? ???????????? ? ?????????, ????? ?????????? ??????? ?????????? ??????? ? ???????? ????????????????. ????????, ??? ? ? ???? ?????? ??????? ??????????????? ????????? ???????????????? ??????????. ? ???????????? ? ???? ????????? ?????? ????????????? ?????????? ??????????? h ????? ???????????? ????????? N min k =1 ? hk g k = min g?K ( h, g ) , N ??? ?????????? ????????????? ????????? ? ?????? ??? ??????????????, ? min k =1 ? hk g k ? ????????? ???????????? ???????? h ? g, ???????????? ????? (h, g). ??????????? ????????????? ???????????? ?????, ????????, ????? ??????????? h0, ?? ??????? ??????????? ???????? ?????? ?????????????: min ( h 0 , g ) = max g?K h min ( h, g ) , g ?K ??? h ?????????? ???? ????? ???????? |h| = 1. ???????? ??????? ???? ??????, ?????????? ? ?????????????? ??????????? ?????????? ???????, ????? ????????? ????????? ???????: ? ??? ?????? ? ??? ???????? ?????????? ??????? ??????? ??????? x0; ? ??? ?????? ? ?????????? ??????? ?????????? ?????????????????? ??????????????? ??????? x0 ( k = 1, 2, ..., N ) ? ????????????? ????????? ???????? k ( S ( x ) , ..., S ( x ) , ... S ( x )) , 1 0 k 0 N 0 ??????????????? ???????????? ???????? ? ??????????????? ???????; ? ??? ?????? ? ??? ??????????? ?????????? ????????? ????????, ????????????? ?? ? ???????????? ?? ????? ???????? ???????????? ? ?????? ?? ? ?????????? ???????; ? ??? ????????? ? ??????????? ??????? ?????? ??????????? ??????, ?????? ?????????? ??????? x1= x0 + ?h0 ? ????? ??????? ??????????????? ??????? x1k ??? ( k = 1, 2, ..., N ) , ( ) ? ????? ????????????? ??????????????? ?? ???????? S ( x11 ) , ..., S x1 ; N ? ??? ????? ? ??? ??????????? ????? ???????????? ????????, ????????????? ?? ? ?. ?. ????????? ??????? ? ??????????????? ????? ???????????? ?? ??? ???, ???? ??? ?? ????????? ??????, ?????? ??? ????? ????????? ?? ?????? ????????. ???, ????? ?? ???? ?????? ????? ?????????, ??? ?????????? ??????? ????????? ???????????? ???, ??? ?? ????????? ???? ??? ??????? ?????????? ????????????? ? ??????? ???????????? ???. ?????????? ????? ??????? ????????????? ????, ??? ????????? ??????? ? ????? ?????????? ??????? ??????? F(t). ????? ?????????? ?????? ????????? ??????????? ???, ?? ??????? ?????????? ??????? ?? ??????????? ??? ?????????? ???????????? ??????? ??????. ????? ?? ?????????? ???????? ? ?????????? ??????? ?? ?????? ??? ???????????? ??????? ??????????? ?? ???. 3. ? ????? ?????? ????? ???????????? ??????? ??????? ?? ?????? ?? ???????? ???????????? ???????? ?????????? ??????? ? ?? ??????????? ????????????, ?? ????? ?? ????????????, ?????????????????, ?????, ??????????????? ???????????? ??? [5, 6]. 21 ISSN 2073-1574. Вестник АГТУ. Сер.: Морская техника и технология. 2016. ? 3 ???. 3. ??????????? ?????? ??? ????????? ??????? ? ?????? ??????? ?? ?????????? ?????????????? ?????????? ????? ???????? ????????? ??? ? ?????????? ??????? ??? ????????????? ??????????? ??????? ????????-???????? ????????? ??????? ?????? ????????? ??????????? ???????????? ????? ???????????????? ????????? ???????? ?????????????????, ?? ?????? ???, ??????? x** ????? ???????? ?? ?????? ??????????????? ???????, xi* ? X , ? ???????????? ??????????????? ???????, x*i +1 ? X , ? ?????? ?????????? It, ?????????? ?? ???. ????????? ??????? ?????? ??????? x**, ? ?????? ???? ???????????? ?????????, ????? ??????????? ??? ?????????????????? ??????? ?????????: I i ?1 Ii I N ?1 I1 I2 x1* , F1* ?? ? x2* , F2* ?? ? , ..., ??? xi* , Fi * ?? ? , ..., ??? ? x N* , FN* (1) ??? x N* = x** , Fi * = F * ( xi * ) ??? ( i = 1, ..., N ) . ? ???????? ?????? ??????? x** ?????????? ??????????? ??? ???? ?????????: ??-??????, ????????? ???????????? ???????? ?????????? ??????? ? ??????? ???????????? ???, ????????, ????????? ??? ? ???????? ??????. ????????? ??????? ???? ??????? ? ?????? ??????????, ?????????? ?? ??? [4]. ???? ??????? ???????????? ??????????? ????????, ??? ???????? ??????????????? ???????????, ?????????????? ??? ???????????? ??????????? ?????????? ??????? (??. ???. 1). ????????-???????? ????????? ?????????????????? ??????????? ????? ???????????? ?? ??? ??????: ??????????? ? ????????????. ? ??????????? ?????????? ??? ??????????? ?????????? ??? ????????????? ???????? xi * ?? ? xi**+1 ????? ??????????? ? ????? ?????? ???????, ? ???????????? ?????????? ? ? ?????????? ??????? (??? ???? ??????? ???????????? ???????? ?????? ??? ????). ? ?????????? (???????????) ?????? ?????????? Ii, ?????????? ?? i-? ????, ????????? ??????? ????????? ??? ???????? (1): x *i +1 = L ( xi* , I i ) , ?. ?. ?????????? ??????? x*i +1 , ??????? ? ?????? ?????????? ?????????????? ?????????? ?i(?) ???????? ????????????? ??????????? ???, ?????????????? ? ?????????? Ii. ???????? L ???????????? ???????????? ? ??????? ????????? ?????? ???????????: ?i ( X ) ?? ? extr ? x *i +1 . 22 (2) Судостроение, судоремонт и эксплуатация флота ?????????? ?i(?) ? ??????? D ?????????? ????????? X ?? i-? ???????? ?????????? ?? ?????? ?????????? Ii: ?i ( X ) = f ? ( I i ); Di ( X ) = f D ( I i ) , ? ????????? f? ? fD ???????? ??????????? ??????? ?????????????????? ???????????. ???????, ??? ?????????? ?i(?) ????? ???? ?????????, ?? ?????, ??? ?????? (2) ?????? ????? ???????? ?????? (1). ??????? ? ????????? ????????-???????? ?????????? (????????????) ? ?????? (2) ???????? ? ???????? ???. ????????? ??? ? ?????? ?????????? ? ?????????? ???????????? ?????????? ???????? ?????????????? Fi * ?? ? Fi*+1 , ( i = 1, ..., N ) , (3) ? ?????????? ???????? ??? ??????????? ??????????? ????? ?????? ????????????? ? ????????????? ?? ??????????????. ????????? ????? ??????????? ? ???, ??? ???, ??? ???????, ?? ???????? ??????????? ????? ?????? ????????????? ? ??? ? ???? ?????????? ?????????????, ??? ? ?????????? ? ???????????????????? ???????? ??????. ??????????, ??????????? ??? ??????? ???? ??????, ?????????? ? ?????????? «???? ? ??????» ??? ? ??? ???????? ???????? ??????? ?? ?????? ???? (3). ????????? ??????????? ? ??? ????? ?????????? ? ???????? ??????? ? ???????????? ????? ????????? ??? ? ??????. ?????????? ??????? ???????? ???????? ? ????????????? ?????? ??? ? ???? ????????. ?????? ? ?????????? ??????, ?????????? ???????, ??? ? ????????? ???????? ?????? ??? ??????????. ?????? ??????? ??????? ????? ?????????????????? ???????????? ??????? ? ???? (1). ??? ?? ?????? ??????????? ? ???? ? ???????????, ?? ? ???????? ?? ???? ????, ??? ????? ??????? ??????????, ??????????? ?????????? ???? ???. ??????? (1) ????? ???? ???????????? ????????, ? ? ???????? ????????? ????????? ??? ??????????? ???? ?????????? ??????????, ??? ??????? ????? ????????? ??? ???????????: ???? ??? ???? ????????? ?????????? ??????? x*i ? ?????????, ? ?????? ? ???????? ?????????? ? ???????? ??????? ????????. ??????? ????? ??????? ????????? ?????? ???????????? ?????: ????????????? ??????? ??????? ?????? ????????????? ??? ??????????? ???????????? ? ?????????? ?????????? ???????, ??? ???? ?????????? ??????????????? ???? ?????? ? ?????. ?????? ?????????? 1. ???????????? ?. ?., ?????????? ?. ?., ??????????? ?. ?. ??????????????-??????????? ?????????, ?????????????? ?????????? ???????????? ????? / ??? ???. ???. ?. ?. ??????????. ????????: ????? ????, 2008. 212 ?. 2. ???????? ?. ?., ????????? ?. ?., ??????? ?. ?. ???????????? ??????????? ????? ? ????????????-??????????? ?????????? / ??? ???. ???. ?. ?. ??????????. ????????: ???-?? ????, 2009. 175 ?. 3. ?????? ?. ?., ????????? ?. ?., ??????????? ?. ?. ??????????? ???????????????? ?????? ? ?????????? ???????????? / ??? ???. ???. ?. ?. ??????????. ????????: ???-?? ????, 2011. 166 ?. 4. ??????? ?. ?. ? ??????? ? ?????????? ??????? ??????? ????? ? ????? ?????????? ? «????????????? ????????» // ?????. ??????. ???. ????. ??-??. 2015. ?. 18. ? 1. ?. 41?47. 5. ??????? ?. ?. ?????? ???????? ?????????? ?? ??????????? ?? ?????????? ????? // ?????. ??????. ???. ????. ??-??. 2015. ?. 18. ? 4. ?. 589?594. 6. ????????? ?. ?., ?????? ?. ?., ????? ?. ?. ???????? ??????????? ???????????? ? ??????? ????????????? ???????? ?????????? ??? / ??? ???. ???. ?. ?. ??????????. ????????: ???-?? ????, 2013. 186 ?. ?????? ????????? ? ???????? 07.06.2016 23 ISSN 2073-1574. Вестник АГТУ. Сер.: Морская техника и технология. 2016. ? 3 ИНФОРМАЦИЯ ОБ АВТОРАХ Зива Ирма Игоревна ? Россия, 183036, Мурманск; Мурманский государственный технический университет; аспирант кафедры ?ксплуатации водного транспорта, судовождения; germina-85@mail.ru. Ершов Владимир Александрович ? Россия, 183036, Мурманск; Мурманский государственный технический университет; аспирант кафедры эксплуатации водного транспорта, судовождения; vladimershov@yandex.ru. Меньшиков Вячеслав Иванович ? Россия, 183036, Мурманск; Мурманский государст- венный технический университет; д-р техн. наук, профессор кафедры cудовождения; kseniamgtu@rambler.ru. I. I. Ziva, V. A. Ershov, V. I. Menshikov OPTIMIZATION OF THE OBJECTIVE FUNCTION AND ADAPTATION OF THE "HUMAN ELEMENT" IN THE NAVIGATION AND FISHERY DIALOG SYSTEMS Abstract. The introduction of expert systems on the modern transport and fishing vessels, including problem-oriented mathematical software and human operator, using the complex to search for the rational (optimal) solutions, enables lookup of rational (optimal) decisions. In such systems, the mode of the dialogue is the process of analyzing a sequence of situations, on the basis of which the operator chooses a solution, which, from his point of view, meets the set goals. The model of the mechanism of search of extremum of the objective function by the decision maker with a guaranteed result is presented, the algorithm of choosing rational (optimal) solutions for the management of ship technical means ensuring the achievement of the decision maker's goals is designed. It is stated that the success of choosing rational (optimal) solutions depends on the quality of problem-oriented mathematical software and the skills, knowledge, experience and psychophysical abilities of decision makers included in the expert system. The paper describes the process of adaptation of decision-makers to choosing rational (optimal) solutions, which should be compromise and educated with the method of "trial and error" trying to improve the solution at each algorithmic step. The realization of compromise and its forms, developed in the process of dialogue between problem-oriented mathematical software and human operator, ensure the movement to the guaranteed success. Key words: expert system, decision-making, dialogue systems, efficiency, human-machine procedure. REFERENCES 1. Gladyshevskii M. A., Pasechnikov M. A., Pen'kovskaia K. V. Organizatsionno-tekhnicheskie struktury, obespechivaiushchie bezopasnuiu ekspluatatsiiu sudna [Managerial-technical structures ensuring the safe operations of the ship]. Pod obshchei redaktsiei V. I. Men'shikova. Murmansk, Izd-vo MGTU, 2008. 212 p. 2. Anisimov A. N., Men'shikov V. I., Sarlaev V. Ia. Ekspluatatsiia dobyvaiushchego sudna v navigatsionno-promyslovykh strukturakh [Operations of catching vessel in navigation and commercial structures]. Pod obshchei redaktsiei V. I. Men'shikova. Murmansk, Izd-vo MGTU, 2009. 175 p. 3. Eremin M. M., Men'shikov V. I., Pen'kovskaia K. V. Optimizatsiia sotsiotekhnicheskikh sviazei v strukturakh moreplavaniia [Optimization of sociotechnical connections in the navigation]. Pod obshchei redaktsiei V. I. Men'shikova. Murmansk, Izd-vo MGTU, 2011. 166 p. 4. Smirnov A. Zh. K voprosu o bezopasnom nesenii khodovoi vakhty i obshchikh trebovanii k «chelovecheskomu elementu» [To the issue on the safe watching and general requirements to "human element"]. Vestnik Murmanskogo gosudarstvennogo tekhnicheskogo universiteta, 2015, vol. 18, no. 1, pp. 41?47. 5. Agarkov S. A. Otsenka kachestva upravleniia po otkloneniiam ot pritsel'noi linii [Evaluation of the quality of control in displacement from the target line]. Vestnik Murmanskogo gosudarstvennogo tekhnicheskogo universiteta, 2015, vol. 18, no. 4, pp. 589?594. 24 Судостроение, судоремонт и эксплуатация флота 6. Men'shikov V. I., Suslov A. N., Shutov V. V. Problemy bezopasnogo moreplavaniia v slozhnykh navigatsionnykh usloviiakh stesnennykh vod [The problems of safe shipping in complex navigation conditions of the confined waters]. Pod obshchei redaktsiei V. I. Men'shikova. Murmansk, Izd-vo MGTU, 2013. 186 p. The article submitted to the editors 07.06.2016 INFORMATION ABOUT THE AUTHORS Ziva Irma Igorevna ? Russia, 183036, Murmansk; Murmansk State Technical University; Postgraduate Student of the Department of Water Transport Operation and Navigation; germina-85@mail.ru. Ershov Vladimir Aleksandrovich ? Russia, 183036, Murmansk; Murmansk State Technical University; Postgraduate Student of the Department of Water Transport Operation and Navigation; vladimershov@yandex.ru. Menshikov Vyacheslav Ivanovich ? Russia, 183036, Murmansk; Murmansk State Technical University; Doctor of Technical Science, Professor of Department of Navigation; kseniamgtu@rambler.ru. 25
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